confusing probability?

316 views

You are in a lucky draw there is a 0.02% chance that you can win you have 10 tickets. From logic we can say that 0.02 power 10 but should I not have a higher chance of winning the lucky draw can you please explain.

In: 1

8 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

.0002^10 is the chance you win every ticket.

Your chances of winning a single ticket are 1 minus your chances of losing every ticket

Your chances of LOSING every ticket are .9998^10

So your chances of winning are 1-0.9998^10 = 0.1998% which is very close to 0.2% and should make sense logically with 10 chances at 0.02%

You are viewing 1 out of 8 answers, click here to view all answers.