Caveats: I’m going to sound extremely conservative and then like a Marxist. Also, I’m only talking about America (I also acknowledge I’m not an expert)
As long as the government subsidizes the things that truly matter (housing, healthcare, transportation, food, education, etc), it’s almost impossible for cost of living to go down
The only possible reprieve is to move away from capitalism as we know it. It feeds off of continuous growth, which is not indefinitely sustainable (and arguments can be made that we already crossed the Rubicon) unless we figure out how to live on other planets
That isn’t really ELI5, I admit
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