Eli5 how are extremely long half-life’s calculated?

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Apparently xenon-124 has a half life of 18 sextillion years for example. How can it be calculated when it’s greater the age of the universe?

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Anonymous 0 Comments

You don’t need to watch it decay by half to calculate the time it will take. You can calculate how long it will take a car to drive 3000 miles across the US even by measuring its speed over 100 feet. If you can calculate how long even a minute amount of xenon-124 in a given sample decays then you can extrapolate the rest.

Anonymous 0 Comments

It’s sort of like how you don’t need to actually wait an entire hour to know how fast your car is going in miles per hour. Half-life is just a convenient point of reference for describing a rate of exponential decay.

For example, if I had 1000 grams of some substance on January 1, and on December 31 there were 999.99 grams left, I could do some math and determine that that substance has a half-life of about 70,000 years (assuming I’ve calculated that correctly). I don’t actually have to wait 70,000 years until there are 500 grams left to know for sure.