Someone says “you have 1 out of 370 chances to win a bottle of water”
and you win 2 consecutive times in a row, what does that mean? i’m lucky or the probability is wrong?
In: Mathematics
It means you are lucky. You’d have to play this game a great many times to by able to say anything useful about the probability being wrong, and even then you’d only be able to state it was wrong with a defined level of confidence.
Certainty is for children and pure mathematicians. For everyone else, there’s probability.
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