eli5 probability in context of gacha games

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Hey everyone, i’m trying to understand probability.
If we say a character has a 1% pull chance. After 200 pulls is there any increased chance of getting said character.

If i work it out in terms of “chance of not having said character after 200 pulls” its a smaller chance the more pulls i work it out after. But the base chance per pull is still 1%

So how does probability actually work in this context.

Am i any more likely to recieve said character after x amount of pulls?

In: 3

12 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

It depends. If it’s true random then no, each pull is independent of any other pull.

However some (many?) gacha games offer at least some level of so-called bad luck protection which will boost your odds of certain pulls over time if you continue to not get good stuff. Check the details of each game to know which ones do it and which ones don’t.

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