Hey everyone, i’m trying to understand probability.
If we say a character has a 1% pull chance. After 200 pulls is there any increased chance of getting said character.
If i work it out in terms of “chance of not having said character after 200 pulls” its a smaller chance the more pulls i work it out after. But the base chance per pull is still 1%
So how does probability actually work in this context.
Am i any more likely to recieve said character after x amount of pulls?
In: 3
It’s as you say: the rolls are independent events (disregarding gacha pity), so it makes no difference whether you’ve rolled twice or 200 times for your next roll. You *are* more likely to have what you want after 200 rolls than after two, but that’s only on paper and as an end result. Thinking “I really will get it it now, it’s been 300 rolls so it should drop!” is a classic case of gambler’s fallacy.
Also, gacha companies are scum and will deceive you with small print and shitty practices at every legally allowed opportunity.
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