ELi5: what was Macron’s strategy behind these early elections?

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I read all over that Macron has seemingly come out successful of his political 4D strategy “gambit” calling for an early election. Can someone explain to me what his strategy was, what were the risks and what he saw that others didn’t that eventually led to this win? Sunak in the UK used a similar strategy with an early election which he lost. How are the two different then?

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Anonymous 0 Comments

The EU elections and polling showed that the Far-right party was positioned to win the majority and form a government.

The next parliamentary elections were slated for 2027 together with presidential elections. So the fear was that the Far-right would parade on this win and claim legitimacy giving them a sweep for both elections.

Macron called bullshit on this with the idea, that people voted for them as a protest vote, but don’t actually want to run the country. Which turned out to be correct.

When push came to shove the voters and other parties showed this to be the correct assumption. With the Far-right NR coming out third in seats with both the left coalition and Macron’s party ahead.

In this point of view it was a win as it squashed the idea the NR has a legitimate support to be the government of France.

But whether it actually worked out will be seen by the ability of this pretty much deadlock parliament being able to form government.

If the two big blocks fail to compromise and form a government this could still be a huge boon for the RNs presidential campaign in 2027.

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