I read all over that Macron has seemingly come out successful of his political 4D strategy “gambit” calling for an early election. Can someone explain to me what his strategy was, what were the risks and what he saw that others didn’t that eventually led to this win? Sunak in the UK used a similar strategy with an early election which he lost. How are the two different then?
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there are many things at play here but the simplified version is the French people voted for a very right wing EU Parliament but with a low voter turnout, just over 51% of the eligible voters actually voted and only a part of that voted for the far right.
His gamble was basically that these early elections will have a higher voter turn out which will then show the real situation in France which would either be that left or center parties win (like they did) or that the French people really want far right politics to happen.
The voter turnout was very high for these elections and as always when many people go vote the right wing parties lose.
That was the very simplified gamble here but theres also the factor here that this vote was called for on extremely short notice which also means there was no time for right wing parties and outside Influencers to use their fake news and anger based elections campaigns to their full potential.
Why did this work differently in the UK?
because the Tories have been in power for a very long time and have shown nothing but failure.
The UK has seen what happens when you let nationalists who are very good at shouting out all kinds of “facts” actually govern the country.
The campaigns they ran with for the last years and including everything leading up to the Brexit were mostly based on lies and false promises and the people are not realizing they have been lied to which is why even die hard Tory voters are turning away from them.
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