When someone says “wow there was only a 30% chance of that happening!” But wouldn’t it be 100% because it DID happen and due to an (probably) infinite amount of unseen variables? In this way would this mean the universe is deterministic?
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Roll a 6-sided die. You have a 1/6 chance to roll a 6.
You rolled a 1! You had a 1/6 chance to roll a 6; it just didn’t happen.
Roll again. You rolled a 6! You had a 1/6 chance to do that, and sure enough, it happened!
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