But the average couple doesn’t have 2 to 3 kids in most places. On average, in many countries, it is less than 2, sometimes a lot less than 2 meaning the population will decline once it works it’s way through. People have actually been warning of a population collapse in about 20-30 years. You can see it coming well in advance because that’s how long it takes for these trends to play out.
You need *four* kids per couple to double the population.
A couple is made up of two people. So for the population to stay the same size, each couple has to produce two kids. For the population to *increase* they need to have more than 2 kids. And if they have *less* than two kids, the population will be shrinking.
Right now the average couple does not have 2-3 kids. They have 1-2 kids.
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