How accurate is weather forecasting for each day in the future?

Question

I feel like for the last 20 years I’ve felt like tomorrow’s forecast is very accurate, 2 days from now is an educated guess (if it says it’s raining, it’ll rain, but not sure what time of day) and 3+ days is unknown.

What advancements have we made in meteorology and what are the current limitations for weather forecasting?

I’ve definitely seen my phone be very accurate in forecasts for the current day like “in 16 mins, it’ll rain for 22 mins and then stop for an hour”

In: Planetary Science

Answer 1

Meteorologists are like economists, they can’t tell you what’s going to happen, but they can explain in minute detail why it happened.