How do banks fail and what happens next?

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Hey everyone. Been seeing a lot of articles about Silicon Valley Bank failing. Says it was the first big bank since 2008 to do so.

How does this happen, what does this mean, what happens next?

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This bank targets starts up. They have looser “riskier” profiles they will lend to and offer high returns for accounts.

They were heavily invested in long term bonds.

When the govt started raising bonds, existing bonds become less appealing because they had lower rates. This is important.

When the govt raises the price to borrow, lending slows. Starts-ups….start up less because it expensive. Investment slow, banks taking in less money (assets.)

Now at the same time, the banks clients are feeling the same pressure so they withdraw money from the bank.

The bank now has to sell the bonds it bought at a discount, essentially taking a less to pay back it’s clients.

Multiply this out and suddenly the bank fails because it can’t repay everyone who is asking for their money because they’ve lost money.

Think of this way – pretend 10 people gave you 1000 dollars each a year ago. You put $9000 in the stock market and hold on to $1000.

The S&P has dropped ~8% in the last year so your investment is currently worth $8280

All 10 people ask for their money back.

You cover the first person with cash on hand ($1000)

You cover 8 other people ($8000)

You can only give $280 to the last person.

You now have no money or investment (assets) and you still owe $720.

Youre bankrupt (failed.)

Now the govt comes and steps in (in reality before you’ve sold all your investments) and takes your assets or has a healthy bank takeover. They pay the customers the federally protected amount $250k with any remaining money + govt money. If you were owed more than that you get certificate saying you’ll get the rest if possible, but without certainty and not from the govt purse.

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