How do ICBM early warning systems differentiate between a real threat and a launch of a normal rocket intended to go to space?
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Generally, space agencies announce well ahead of time that they’re planning a launch, so if there is supposed to be a spacecraft launch at a certain day and time, and then the detection systems pick up a launch from the announced location at the announced date and time, it can be reasonably assumed to be a spacecraft launch. Exercise submarine ballistic missile launches are similarly announced ahead of time as missile tests
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