Same way you know whether you can you can jump a gap by standing and jumping, a walk and jump or if you need a running jump.
Same way you know that when you’re driving, going 60mph round a bend would be too fast and you wouldn’t make it, but you can at 40mph.
Same way you know how hard and high to throw a ball to someone standing at varying distances.
It’s practice which leads to instinct. Start small and slow and build up speed and distance. It’s obviously a lot more complicated and more involved than my examples but the principles there.
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