How do NBA trades work to determine who gets draft picks?

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Kyrie recently got traded to the Mavericks, in exchange the Nets got a few pieces plus draft picks. How is it determined who gets what draft picks? If Kyrie were to not be traded, he would go to free agency later in the year. If he were to become a free agent instead, would that also alter the draft selection of the Nets in this case?

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– Who gets what draft picks – that depends on the number and type of draft picks the Mavs had at the time and which ones the Nets found particularly attractive. In particular they coveted the 2029 first round pick the Mavs had because Luka Doncic (their best player) can opt out of his current contract by 2026. Currently he’s literally the only all NBA talent the Mavs have on the roster and without him the team is very likely to tank and be in rebuild mode for a couple years. The worse off you are as a team, the higher the chances to get a high draft pick in that year’s draft. That makes the 2029 first rounder that much more attractive because it’s one of the first chances Dallas will have to land a lottery pick. That’s why many sports analysts are worried for Dallas because in their view Dallas has given up a chance to be better down the line in order to take a gamble on Kyrie who will be 31 next month and has a long injury history and a history of poor behavior.

– If Kyrie enters free agency does Brooklyn’s pick change – If the Nets let Kyrie walk in free agency they wouldn’t get any picks from Dallas at all. All teams are protective of their draft picks because they see them as future assets. They won’t and can’t give away their picks to someone without anything in return. Free agency essentially means that Kyrie’s contract is up and he isn’t at the mercy of any team anymore so he can negotiate salary and terms for any team that he wants to play with and will take him.

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