How do pilots and websites like Turbli accurately predict how much turbulence there will be in a flight?

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Every flight I go on I check Turbli before I do it to check out how much turbulence there will be (nervous flyer). Almost every single time I have checked it, it ends up being absurdly accurate. Then today when I was on a flight the pilot said that for the next 4 minutes there will be severe turbulence but after it should be smooth sailing. I looked at the clock and he was exactly right. How did he know? What instruments show this and how do they work?

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Anonymous 0 Comments

Tangential: pilots have a different turbulence scale than most people. It might be slightly reassuring that your “severe turbulence” was probably considered moderate, at worst, by the pilot. Of course, the pilot knows this so he still calls it severe on the intercom.

In truly severe turbulence it’s completely impossible to walk around, and if you didn’t have your seatbelt on you’d hit the ceiling. Obviously, this is super extremely rare.

[Source](https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/turbulence_stuff/turbulence/turbulence.htm)

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