It’s easy to figure out what areas were affected, and reasonably easy after that to figure out what the normal population of those areas is. You multiply that population by some general estimate of what proportion of people die in an incident such as this in an area like that… and then you get a (very rough, but reasonably accurate) estimate.
Keep in mind, when someone says, “18 thousand people died” they aren’t saying, “We counted up to 17, 999 and then one more body came in and we bumped it up to an even 18.”
They are making a very rough estimate. It could be anywhere in that ballpark, off by hundreds or even thousands more. It may be roughly accurate but it is not precise.
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