In general with these things you have to understand that the news cycle demands numbers. Whoever gives a number first will be quoted first. If no official entity provides estimates, it will fall to a less credible source to provide numbers. It’s best for the government or another credible source to provide estimates early on to just combat the silliness that will come of they don’t.
That being said you can get some shockingly accurate results with just some simple statistics. things like “number of building” * “size of buildings” * “people in a given amount of space inside building” * “survival rate” will get you a ballpark estimate with just some drone footage
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