Scale.
Sure Uranium 238 has a half life of 4.5 billion years, but you’re not staring at one atom waiting for it to decay – that could take an eternity.
Instead you slap a brick of U-238 on the table, and it contains 10^24 atoms.
Any one atom may have a vanishingly small 0.00000000001% chance decay today, but you have 1000000000000000000000000 atoms.
So you’ll record *millions* of decay events today, and can use that value to calculate the half life.
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