It doesn’t, it decays with random chance. After 4.5 billion years a single uranium-238 atom has a 50% chance to have decayed.
There are so many atoms in a sample of uranium, that after 4.5 billion years, almost exactly half of them have decayed. It’s just a matter of statistics.
For any given sample, if you could count every atom, it may vary from sample to sample how many have decayed, but there’s so many that it’s just a rounding error.
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