And what is it? The ocean water being displaced or wind moving it?
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A bit of both.
It’s calculated from experience.
The hundreds of hurricanes over the decades have given meteorologists a pretty accurate picture of how a storm will behave.
So if they know the storm is moving in x direction with wind speeds of y, then a storm surge of z will occur.
The storm surge is a measure of how high the sea level will rise due to the forces of the hurricane moving the water
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