monty halls door problem please

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I have tried asking chatgpt, i have tried searching animations, I just dont get it!

Edit: I finally get it. If you choose a wrong door, then the other wrong door gets opened and if you switch you win, that can happen twice, so 2/3 of the time.

In: 296

31 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

There’s 3 doors. 2 don’t have a prize, and one does.

The odds you pick the door correctly on the first try is 1/3. They reveal a door that you didn’t pick and doesn’t have a prize. The odds your door is correct is still 1/3 because the reveal of that other door doesn’t change that first decision you made. That means switching doors will give you the prize 2/3 of the time.

Imagine instead there were 100 doors and 1 prize. If you oick a door at random, it’s a 1% chance to be right. We then open 98 of the doors that don’t have a prize. There’s a 99% chance the other remaining door has the prize and a 1% chance you guessed correctly on the first try. It’s not the 50/50 that people think it is.

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