In a hypothetical scenario,
if Lebron James made 10 successful shots in the same spot consecutively, what is the probability that his 11 shot is successful? Is it the same probability as the 1st? or did any of his prior shots affect his 11th throw?
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What about in the instance of coin toss, similar scenario,
if i throw head for 10 times, what is the probability that i will get another head in the 11th time?
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Thanks
In: Mathematics
We know the coin has a 50/50 probability of landing on heads/tails. We don’t know what the probability is of LeBron making or missing this shot from this location. We can infer from 10/10 successful shots that the probability is very high, thus it would make sense to presume he’d make the 11th. The 11th shot is independent, but the difference between a coin and LeBron is that we have lots and lots and lots more data about coins than we have about LeBron shooting from this location.
We only know he took 10 shots, and succeeded all 10 times.
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