A roulette wheel has a 49% chance (or something i can’t remember but for the sake of this discussion we can just call it 50%) of landing on either black or red. i feel like every time it lands on red, the odds of it landing on red again next spin go down, but also logically i know the odds reset for each spin because the numbers still add up to 50%. Why is it not the former? What is this magic?
In: Mathematics
Why would it matter? There is nothing in the roulette wheel that controls where the ball goes. The ball is not offended by falling into the same colour slot twice in a row. The second spin isn’t any different from the first from the wheel or the ball’s perspective.
Being lucky is just that – luck. There is no pattern, but your brain is wired to try and find patterns. Being able to predict and anticipate is a survival skill in the wild, but some things can’t be predicted. A short term lucky sequence of events may be noticed by your brain trying to find a pattern, especially since you want to win, even though over a long period of time it will not work out.
Also, the reason it’s 49% is because there’s the special green `0` and `00` positions on the wheel. These tilt the odds slightly in favour of the house. Betting $50 on red and getting red wins you $100 (you double your money), but with the odds being slightly *less* than 50/50, the math says you don’t break even in the long run. Which means the house wins.
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