Why does the probability “lock in” and not change if you remove a variable but doubles for the other one?
I read it multiple times and it still doesnt make any logical sense to me.
In: Mathematics
Let’s take this idea a bit further.
Let’s briefly assume that you know if your first choice was correct or incorrect. Now, if your first choice was correct you would want to stay with your first choice, right? And if your first choice was wrong you’d want to switch.
With that in mind, what is the chance that your first choice was right?
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