Why does the probability “lock in” and not change if you remove a variable but doubles for the other one?
I read it multiple times and it still doesnt make any logical sense to me.
In: Mathematics
If you stick with your first choice, the only way you can WIN is if you guessed right which is one out of three. If you switch, the only way you can LOSE is if you guessed right to begin with which is still one out of three. That makes your odds of winning two out of three if you switch.
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