i am so sorry if my question is worded weirdly.
live in pennsylvania. the remnants of hurricane beryl are supposed to come thru wednesday. i looked at the path, and my city isn’t in the cone. but we are still predicted to get massive rain and heavy thunderstorms.
how does this work? does it just depend on the size of the hurricane? and for cities that are IN the cone, are they going to be hit harder?
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The cone is the estimated path of the storm *center*. For a system that is a couple hundred miles across, this means that areas well outside the cone can still feel the effects.
“The cone” is an estimate of where the storm will be….its not the exact size of the storm nor is its predicted path always accurate.
Even after the hurricane makes landfall; it’s still a major storm system. If the other atmospheric conditions remain favorable what started out as a hurricane in Texas can become severe thunderstorms all the way up the coast into new england
When the media reports that a storm has made landfall at a particular location it gives you the idea that the storm “hit” there. Well, yeah, but the storm is three hundred miles wide, or more.
A hurricane doesn’t “hit” in minutes the way a tornado can, it slowly encroaches over a matter of days with bands of thunderstorms and torrential rain, steadily increasing in intensity. They all have tornadoes embedded in the most violent of the thunderstorms that circle the center of rotation.
Trusting that the center of rotation misses your location is like thinking that your chin being two feet from Mike Tyson’s in a fight is a safe place to stand.
The remnants of Beryl are expected to get picked up by the jet stream and carried into the NorthEast. There really isn’t a “cone” at that point because the storm will have broken up into a post tropical low which doesn’t have an eye or anything well organized.
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