what does he mean, the “mathematical limit of what our atmosphere can produce”?

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https://x.com/nbergwx/status/1843444771135861007?s=46&t=9FPxCfjU5uuRXH3QXtrs8w

From this tweet. Additional, how would we know, and how would this be a stationary target given global warming or general changes?

In: Planetary Science

12 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

Weather on Earth is basically the system balancing itself out and the system can only change so fast given the available energy.

Think of it like a tub. The tub filling is the ocean water building up more and more energy through heat. The hurricane is the drain in the tub taking that energy back out. When the tub is barely full to a little full, how fast it drains goes up in speed (small storms, tropical depression, cat 1-5 storms), but once the tub reaches a certain fullness, it won’t drain any faster (cat 5+ storms). If the water were even hotter, it could get even bigger (drain faster), as that’s more going into the tub again, but for the given heat right now, it is draining full speed.

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