What does “Polls Say” in an Election even mean? How are they updated? No one has ever asked me my thoughts. Who are they asking and who is actually answering?
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The biggest issue with polling (everyone else has given good explanations of the process, I’ll add a brief explainer of why they are getting less and less reliable):
How often do you pick up the phone for an unknown number or respond to unsolicited text messages?
Polls heavily rely on participation and, in 2024, the number of people willing to even answer that phone call from a number outside their contacts are dwindling. This leaves the confusing folk who are stoked to answer every call that comes in and have probably exclaimed “Sure!” before the pollster can finish their opening script.
So, no one has ever asked you your thoughts? In that case, I presume, like most of us, you don’t answer calls from random numbers. You are a solid example of the issue. Who are these people even that do answer? Just by answering and regardless of political affiliation they are already not the “average American”.
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