What does “Polls Say” in an Election even mean? How are they updated? No one has ever asked me my thoughts. Who are they asking and who is actually answering?
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1. **Choosing People to Ask**: Pollsters (the people who make the polls) pick a group of people to ask. They try to choose a group that represents the whole population, like making sure they ask people of different ages, genders, and backgrounds.
2. **Asking Questions**: They ask these people questions about who they plan to vote for or what they think about certain issues. This can be done over the phone, online, or in person.
3. **Collecting Answers**: The pollsters collect all the answers and look at the data. They use math to figure out what the answers might mean for the whole population.
4. **Predicting Results**: Based on the answers they collected, pollsters make predictions about how the election might turn out. They might say something like, “Candidate A is leading with 55% of the vote.”
5. **Margin of Error**: Polls also have something called a “margin of error,” which tells us how accurate the poll is. For example, if the margin of error is 3%, and Candidate A has 55%, it means the real number could be between 52% and 58%.
Polls just give us an idea of what might happen, they aren’t always 100% accurate.
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