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Here are some statistics I derived using a Matlab script for this paradox:
With a group of 1 there is a 0% chance.
With a group of 15 there is a 25% chance.
With a group of 23 there is a 50% chance.
With a group of 50 there is a 97% chance.
With a group of 69 there is a 99.9% chance.
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