It seems counterintuitive that only 23 people need to hit a 50% chance. But it’s not about the 23 people, it’s about all the combinations of *pairs of people*. There are (23 x 22) pairs, or 253. That’s a lot of pairs, so there’s a good possibility of at least one of those pairs having the same birthday. And the more people you add, the more pairs you have, and the higher the chance you get.
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