Why are there Two Hurricane Models, the European Model and the American Model when physics and statistics are the same everywhere?

Question

Why are there Two Hurricane Models, the European Model and the American Model when physics and statistics are the same everywhere?

In: 293

Answer 1

Basically because physics are far from settled. There’s an entire half of physics in the universe we don’t even recognize [because we don’t accept nature for what it is, or us for what we are.](http://www.urbanagandenergy.org/soe/) We don’t really understand the whole of how or why weather works the way it does, so all predictions are made by someone’s assumptions being modeled by high power computers. Inside 1.5 days we do quite well and models match and make 75% accuracy. Outside of that the matches and accuracy decline sharply because nature is far more complex than we recognize. There are factors that effect weather development that aren’t included in anyones models.