Why does it matter when others play the “wrong” move at a blackjack table

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The odds of the other person getting a card they want doesn’t necessarily change, so why does it effect anybody when a player doesn’t play by the chart

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Anonymous 0 Comments

Gambling is *usually* rigged. People say “the house always wins” because when you run the probabilities you usually find that if a person plays the game long enough, they will always spend more money than they win.

Blackjack, however, is interesting because after you’ve seen a certain number of cards you can start to figure out what cards are coming out of the deck with big enough probabilities it “breaks” the house’s advantage. This “card counting” is effective enough casinos will often ask people to leave tables and stop playing blackjack if it’s suspected they are doing it. People who continue might end up banned from the casino.

Those calculations are sometimes based on guesses. It’s *assumed* that if you can see a person with an 8 face up and one card you can’t see, and they hit, that face-down card must be very low because hitting when you are likely to “bust” is not the “right” move. So that impacts your decisions and what cards you think remain in the dealer’s deck, which can affect whether you decide you’ve lost this hand or whether it’s worth the risk to take more cards.

A table of pros will predictably cost the casino money, because they can make decent guesses about the cards they can’t see based on probability. But if you add a few people playing just for fun, their “wrong” moves throw off the card counters and make it harder to measure the probabilities.

So they’re angry, because they have a fairly narrow margin of chances to make a profit, and people making “wrong” moves tilt the odds back towards the house. But it is what it is, especially at cheaper tables a lot of people aren’t there to crunch numbers and exploit the house so much as to burn off a few hours while having some drinks.

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