Why does switching doors in the Monty Hall Problem increase odds: 2 doors, 50-50

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I have read through around 10 articles and webpages on this problem, and still don’t understand. I’ve run simulations and yes, switching does get you better odds, but why?

In: Mathematics

35 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

Maybe thinking about it this way might help.

10 doors.

You pick one.

There is a 1 in 10 chance you picked the right door.

Another way to say this is there is a 9 in 10 chance the winning door is NOT your door.

Someone who knows which door has the prize opens 8 of those 9 doors.

There is still a 9 in 10 chance the winning door is NOT your door.

Your door has a 1 in 10 chance of having the prize, the other a 9 in 10 chance of having the prize.

Do you switch?

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