Why is a single 70% chance different to Ten 7% chances

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Like. I know they are different and that one is less likely. But could someone explain this in a way that I can explain it to my partner? I know it is true but cannot remember anything about why and how to explain my point.

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40 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

Explain like your five ….

Imagine you had a game with 11players. Each player gets given a shuffles deck of cars each with numbers 1-100 on them.

To win the game you need to find the number 69.

10 players are allowed to choose 7 cards from their deck of 100 at random.

1 player gets to choose 70 cards from Thier deck of cards at random.

Even if the 10 players team up and agree if any one of them wins then they all win. It’s still really unlikely any one of them would win with only 7 chances to find the card I’m a deck of 100.

Even if they team up they can’t increase each others chance of winning individually. Each player still only has 7 chances to find the card in the deck of 100 card.

The guy with 70 tries in his deck of 100 though obviously has a massively increased chance to win.

If you had to bet on the team of 10 players or the Single guy, who would you choose?

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