Why is fusion always “30 years away?”

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It seems that for the last couple decades fusion is always 30 years away and by this point we’ve well passed the initial 30 and seemingly little progress has been made.

Is it just that it’s so difficult to make efficient?

Has the technology improved substantially and we just don’t hear about it often?

In: Physics

34 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

Working as an Engineer, I’ve often said when it comes to completing projects “You first complete 90% of a project. Then you complete the *other* 90%”.

The last 10% of project often takes much longer, as it often involves looking for errors, resolving those errors and when you fix those errors you end up having to go back and redo things that were perfectly fine, and then in redoing that you need to change something else…

This can go on a long time.

It’s going to be much worse with a technology that has never existed before. I suspect that once(if) the first practical fusion reactor is built, we will see 3 or 4 others pop up in under 5 years. That’s the way technological innovation usually works.

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