I know they’re a lot better than they used to be, but it can still vary a lot! Are we likely to get any better at predicting the weather?
In: Planetary Science
We’re trying to tell the future. Not much more to it than that.
It’s easier to guess on a macro scale (here’s a hurriance, it’ll travel west and likely get stronger going over the ocean, then turn northwards and recurve to the east), then on a micro scale (it will definitely hit Little Floodtown at 0714hrs as a Cat 3, causing 107mm rainfall with a north-north-westerly wind of speed 32mph).
Overall yes, we’re getting better. More data means we can refine our models better. More tracking of weather systems means we can see what they’re up to more often, and adapt our models that much quicker. From satellites to storm-chasers we’ve got more eyes on systems than ever before, with better and more accurate equipment.
Nature, however, likes to throw surprises at us. Hence Rule One is always to respect Her.
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