ELI5: The earth is very large. Estimating how gasses in the atmosphere mix is very difficult. That topic is fluid dynamics, and we STILL cannot model it for large systems, even *with* all of our incredible technology. It is inherently *chaotic* meaning it’s very… unpredictable.
Computers aren’t good enough to “brute force” model fluids. At least not on the scale of “the earth.”
For reference, when I worked with supercomputers in grad school, every night all of our jobs were paused for 2-3 hours while the local weather station ran its weather prediction models.
An ENTIRE supercomputer. Everyday, for hours. And that was only for LOCAL weather!
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