The accuracy of the prediction goes up exponentially the closer you get to the time you predict. So (and bearing in mind this is a made up example) the prediction for 7 days out might only have say a 20% certainty, the prediction for an hour out will be close to 100% certainty. Given where we started (weather as completely uncertain, unpredictable, act of the gods) to where we are now (prediction capabilities that get close to 100% certainty as the event horizon is looming), I’d say we’re doing stupendously well. Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
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