There were a host of unmanned missions to the Moon before the Apollo landings. American and Russian.
Some landed, some were orbital missions.
Their plans were worked out in advance from theoreticals, and if the end result varied from theoretical values, adjustments were made to the next.
If the advance values were wrong, missions would have missed the Moon, or landed in wrong places.
By the time Apollo 11 came around, they knew what to expect
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