Eli5: How do probabilities work?

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Someone says “you have 1 out of 370 chances to win a bottle of water”

and you win 2 consecutive times in a row, what does that mean? i’m lucky or the probability is wrong?

In: Mathematics

8 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

It’s not wrong because [we assume] the outcome of one event doesn’t affect any later outcomes. Being a 1/370 chance event multiple times in a row can occur, it’s just very unlikely. (1/370^2)

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