eli5 If an unbiased coin has a 50% chance of getting heads and 50% of getting tails. If you roll 10 times why is it unlikely for you to get 5 heads and 5 tails. From a probability standpoint, shouldn’t you guarantee that?
It’s not guaranteed. Each coin toss is independent.
What you end up with is a binomial distribution: [https://mathbitsnotebook.com/Geometry/Probability/BD3x.jpg](https://mathbitsnotebook.com/Geometry/Probability/BD3x.jpg)
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