ELi5 Probability odds help. Im not math genius 15% chance 3 times but if I hit on any of those chances I get the whole thing

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So I have a math probablity question.

Lets say there is a pile of money that I can win. I get 15 random numbers assigned to me (i get no say in the matter) and then a number out of 100 is drawn at random. If I hit on that 15% chance I win the money.

Now lets say I get three shots. Get 15 random numbers, number gets drawn out of 100 if I win I win game stops, If i lose we do it again. Get 15 random numbers, number gets drawn out of 100 if I win I win if I lose we do it again. Get 15 random numbers, number gets drawn out of 100 if I win I win if I lose I lose.

So basically I have a 15% chance of winning three times.. what is my overall chances of winning the money?

In: 2

20 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

Just some clarification:
Did it say anywhere that the 15 random numbers you draw are always going to be different?
EG you will never have a situation where you are assigned the number 6 twice in your 15 numbers.

If nothing says and you can get duplicates.
Then it doesn’t actually change much.
You’ve received numerous explanations on how to get a 15% chance in 3 tries.
Now you’re dealing with a 1% chance, 45 times.

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