So for the water to hit the roof, the acceleration of the elevator has to be greater than the acceleration due to gravity. this is because the water in the bottle will leave it at the same speed as the elevator, and will accelerate at the acceleration due to gravity. So if the water and the elevator both fell at the same speed then the water would appear to float with respect to the elevator, but if the elevator is accelerating faster then the water than the water would hit the roof.
However, in most situations, the elevator is also subject to friction due to it’s rails and other mechanisms, so the water will fall on the floor.
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