eli5: Why are both S&P 500 stock and bond indexes down YTD instead of being the inverse?

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Aren’t stocks and bonds supposed to move in inverse to each other?

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6 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

The S&P 500 bond index is related to corporate bonds.
Generally government bonds will run opposite of stocks, but the same isn’t true for corporate bonds.

Anonymous 0 Comments

This year has a great deal of uncertainty, particularly the last 2-3 weeks. In times of uncertainty, stocks and bonds are often both down as the market seeks more secure positions, like cash of government bonds.

Anonymous 0 Comments

Bond prices generally fall when the cost of borrowing money increases (which is happening now/soon) which is the main reason for current bond price drops. That combined with everything else like inflation and war is what’s also bringing down the stock market

Anonymous 0 Comments

Bond prices drop when interest rates are about to rise – why would you buy a low-yielding bond today when you could get a better-yielding bond tomorrow?

The stock market drop is for a similar reason, why invest in risky stocks when a better, safer option is on the horizon?

Anonymous 0 Comments

I just a look at the S&P 500 index and its like a 0.5% change. Its nothing like more than a daily fluctuation.

Anonymous 0 Comments

No – stocks and bonds are not supposed to move inverse to each other.

Correlation between two asset classes can be represented as a number between 1.0 (perfect correlation) to -1.0 (perfectly inverse correlation), with 0.0 representing the asset classes moving completely independently of each other.

In the real world, correlation between stock and bond returns varies significantly over time, and I don’t think it’s ever been -1.0, which you would need to guarantee that prices of the two asset classes always move in the opposite direction.