If a prediction of a recession causes the market to crash, can it be said that the prediction itself is part of the cause of the recession? Like a self-fulfilling prophecy?

Question

If a prediction of a recession causes the market to crash, can it be said that the prediction itself is part of the cause of the recession? Like a self-fulfilling prophecy?

In: Economics

Answer 1

A prediction of a recession does not cause the market to crash.

Predictive data that often precedes future recessions, on the other hand, can.