What is the most common cause of big projects over running on their estimated budget? For example, I recently learned that the HS2 train line in the UK will be nearly £75bn over the estimated budget! How was the estimate so wrong?

Question

What is the most common cause of big projects over running on their estimated budget? For example, I recently learned that the HS2 train line in the UK will be nearly £75bn over the estimated budget! How was the estimate so wrong?

In: Engineering

Answer 1

Nobody wants to put a big line item in the estimated budget for “stuff we haven’t thought of, or things going wrong we haven’t anticipated”.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy