Bond yields move in the opposite direction of bond prices.
So what’s really happening is people are buying bonds when there’s fear of recession. In a recession, businesses get less valuable because they make less money, but bonds pay the same amount as long as the payer survives.
So, bonds are a better investment during a recession and people buying bonds means they think it’s more likely that a recession may occur, bond prices become a good predictor of recessions.
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