Why is it a dumb idea for me to go to a casino and play roulette ONLY until I double my money or break even?

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So I don’t gamble, and don’t ever indend to make it a habit.

But a friend told me to play roulette, and I would have a ~47% chance of doubling my money and , as long as I had enough money to keep doubling my stake, would have a ~95% break even if I kept going until I won and never played again.

So say I had $200k in the bank and always put my money on red

Spin 1 : $5K

Spin 2: $10K

Spin 3: $20K

Spin 4: $40k

Spin 5: $80K

Spin 6: $160k

In this scenario, I’d have a ~47% chance of winning $5k, and just a 2% chance of losing $160k?

EDIT: Although just working this out, I think I would probably put the 160k into a 4% savings account if I had it, or start off way smaller amounts e.g. $500 to reduce my chane of losing money significantly lol.

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46 Answers

Anonymous 0 Comments

Find me a good casino that will allow you to bet $160k on a spin? And don’t even think about online casinos like stake(dot)com. They all scams, I was doing that same strategy and within an hour lost all my money, I was always betting black and the fker landed on red 13x in a ROOOOOWWWWW!!!! Then I re couped my money and thought I’d get it back I mean wtf are the chances of it happening again?! So I was betting black again and winning some losing some, anyways at the end it went 12x red again! That’s like Fkin close to impossible within an hour of playing. Anyways, anything digital is a scam even though they claim they have “3rd party” testing and anti cheating and controlled by the government gambling bullshit, it’s all bullshit amigo! Don’t do it!

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